Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.014694 0.018187 0.022696 0.029114 0.038309 0.051525 0.073027
2025-02-02 0.011128 0.015203 0.021302 0.031726 0.050656 0.087689 0.181081
2025-02-09 0.008917 0.012896 0.019403 0.031921 0.058848 0.126682 0.394510
2025-02-16 0.007542 0.011371 0.018059 0.032187 0.067289 0.180034 0.951583
2025-02-23 0.006543 0.010183 0.016879 0.032146 0.075155 0.250359 2.746700
2025-03-02 0.005636 0.008956 0.015278 0.030467 0.077332 0.308399 8.064408
2025-03-09 0.005010 0.008120 0.014240 0.029714 0.082117 0.402581 58.167965
2025-03-16 0.004615 0.007642 0.013817 0.030373 0.093027 0.605258 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004249 0.007160 0.013280 0.030514 0.102504 0.894512 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003841 0.006537 0.012305 0.029025 0.103229 1.105501 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003534 0.006080 0.011631 0.028252 0.107331 1.496634 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003361 0.005877 0.011517 0.029255 0.123469 2.840846 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003239 0.005797 0.011776 0.032033 0.160777 12.049802 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003118 0.005710 0.012017 0.035071 0.214067 310.038912 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002913 0.005401 0.011601 0.035297 0.244243 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002735 0.005133 0.011239 0.035602 0.280397 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002569 0.004869 0.010838 0.035555 0.315557 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002373 0.004515 0.010113 0.033630 0.313200 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002224 0.004259 0.009637 0.032768 0.331159 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002129 0.004119 0.009483 0.033522 0.393656 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002028 0.003957 0.009237 0.033683 0.449691 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001899 0.003713 0.008699 0.031980 0.442066 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001798 0.003529 0.008325 0.031098 0.461043 NaN NaN